Deka Treasury (Germany) Performance

ELFE Etf  EUR 789.50  5.90  0.75%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0296, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Deka Treasury's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Deka Treasury is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Deka Treasury 7 10 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, Deka Treasury is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
  

Deka Treasury Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  79,672  in Deka Treasury 7 10 on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (722.00) from holding Deka Treasury 7 10 or give up 0.91% of portfolio value over 90 days. Deka Treasury 7 10 is producing return of less than zero assuming 0.5023% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 4% of all etfs have less volatile historical return distribution than Deka Treasury, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Deka Treasury is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 1.51 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Deka Treasury 7 10 extending back to September 03, 2019. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Deka Treasury stands at 789.50, as last reported on the 28th of February, with the highest price reaching 789.50 and the lowest price hitting 789.50 during the day.
200 Day MA
784.403
50 Day MA
779.792
Inception Date
2019-08-09
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Deka Treasury Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Deka Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 789.50 90 days 789.50 
about 29.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deka Treasury to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 29.32 (This Deka Treasury 7 10 probability density function shows the probability of Deka Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Deka Treasury has a beta of 0.0296 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Deka Treasury average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Deka Treasury 7 10 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Deka Treasury 7 10 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Deka Treasury Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Deka Treasury

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deka Treasury 7. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Deka Treasury's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
789.00789.50790.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
782.33782.83868.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
786.32786.82787.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
556.54783.64795.00
Details

Deka Treasury Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deka Treasury is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deka Treasury's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deka Treasury 7 10, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deka Treasury within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
10.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Deka Treasury Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deka Treasury for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deka Treasury 7 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Deka Treasury 7 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains about 100.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Deka Treasury Fundamentals Growth

Deka Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Deka Treasury, and Deka Treasury fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Deka Etf performance.
Total Asset391.04 M

About Deka Treasury Performance

By analyzing Deka Treasury's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Deka Treasury's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Deka Treasury has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Deka Treasury has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
DEKA US is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany.
Deka Treasury 7 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains about 100.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Deka Etf

Deka Treasury financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deka Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deka with respect to the benefits of owning Deka Treasury security.